The Personal Blog of Stephen Sekula

No time to quit

Until there is a vaccine, or enough testing and tracking capability to ensure new cases are spotted quickly and isolated, this is no time for Collin County to quit its effective social distancing protocols. The doubling time for COVID-19 cases now is 25 days; before social distancing went into effect, it was 2 days. You do the math.

(Orange) New cases per day in Collin County, averaged over the prior 7 days; (Black) New cases each day. Arrows indicate when various actions went into effect. You can see the effect when full stay-at-home measures locked in, helping to halt and reverse the trend.
Arrows (left to right) indicate when limited, followed by full, stay-at-home measures went into effect.